Katarzyna Barańczuk & Hany Frahat Abd-Elhamid – SEA EU Talent – Climate Change

SEA EU Talent Communications – Climate Change

Title:

Climate change in the context of historical trend analysis and forecasting the shoreline changes at the Nile Delta using RS data and GIS with DSAS tool.

Abstract:

Climate change is increasing at alarming rates and coastal areas are becoming increasingly threatened by climate change and sea level rise. The current study aims to do historical trend analysis of the Nile Delta shoreline and predict the likely change in the shoreline due to climate change. The Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) with the ArcGIS environment are used for monitoring the shoreline changes.The satellite images with 30 m resolution were used from 1974 to 2022 and geomatically corrected using Supervised Classification to detect the shoreline changes in the Nile Delta. GIS was used for change detection, monitor changes in shoreline and forecasting future changes in shoreline for the next 10 and 20 years (2033-2043). The results showed that the shoreline of the Nile Delta has moved toward the land with different values in the period (1974-2022) and the predictions showed more increase in 2033 and 2043, especially at Rosetta and Damietta.

This work was supported by the SCORE (Smart Control of the Climate Resilience in European Coastal Cities) project, funded by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 101003534.

The scientific team of Coastal City Living Lab Poland (University of Gdańsk and Technical University of Košice)

Katarzyna Barańczuk  is a Coastal City Living Lab Poland assistant. She is a PhD student at the Institute of Geography, University of Gdańsk, Poland. Her field of research covers environmental analysis and monitoring. She is the co-author of few articles. From July 2021 is the member of Polish team H2020 Score project.

Hany Frahat Abd-Elhamid  is a researcher in H2020 Score project and scientific partner of Coastal City Living Lab Poland. He is a Professor at the Institute of Environmental Engineering at the Technical University of Košice. He specializes in water resources modeling and simulation, groundwater engineering, water resources management and climate change. Hany Frahat Abd-Elhamid has published over 100 journal papers and took part in many european projects.

Contact:

hany_farhat2003@yahoo.com

katarzyna.baranczuk@ug.edu.pl